Infratest dimap poll of 15 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 13 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,222
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 31 Aug 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,222 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 31 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 17.8
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 26.8
- AfD +1.0average 21.0
- Grüne +0.8average 14.2
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD158
- SPD115
- Grüne107
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne422 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.