Infratest dimap poll of 31 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,310
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Aug 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,310 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.5 points higher and SPD 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.5average 26.5
- SPD -2.2average 18.2
- AfD +1.2average 20.8
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD159
- SPD116
- Grüne101
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.