Infratest dimap poll of 18 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 16 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,216
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Aug 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,216 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Aug 2023, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 18.4
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.4
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD154
- SPD124
- Grüne103
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.