Infratest dimap poll of 3 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2023 to 2 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,297
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2023 to 2 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- AfD +0.7average 20.3
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD152
- SPD123
- Grüne109
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.