Infratest dimap poll of 20 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 19 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,235
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jul 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,235 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jul 2023, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 26.7
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- SPD -0.4average 18.4
- AfD -0.2average 20.2
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD147
- SPD132
- Grüne95
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.