Infratest dimap poll of 6 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,305
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jun 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,305 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.0average 5.0
- SPD -0.9average 18.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- AfD +0.6average 19.4
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- AfD145
- SPD130
- Grüne101
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.