Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
20 to 21 Jun 2023
Respondents
1,191
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • AfD19.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jun 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,191 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Jun 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.2average 19.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • Grüne +0.4average 14.6
  • AfD +0.2average 18.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsAfD: 139 seatsSPD: 125 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • AfD139
  • SPD125
  • Grüne110
  • FDP44
  • CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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