Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 1 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 to 31 May 2023
Respondents
1,302
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD18.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,302 people were surveyed from 30 to 31 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.6average 16.4
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • SPD -0.8average 18.8
  • FDP -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 29.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 130 seatsAfD: 130 seatsGrüne: 109 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD130
  • AfD130
  • Grüne109
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne369 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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