Infratest dimap poll of 12 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 10 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,220
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 May 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,220 people were surveyed from 9 to 10 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 29.7
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- Grüne +0.4average 15.6
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD124
- Grüne111
- AfD111
- FDP55
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.