Infratest dimap poll of 4 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 3 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,360
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Apr 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,360 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Apr 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 29.5
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- AfD +0.3average 15.7
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Grüne +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- SPD118
- Grüne111
- AfD111
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.