Infratest dimap poll of 7 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,364
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+2.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Nov 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,364 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Dec 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 30.1
- SPD -1.6average 15.6
- FDP -1.4average 5.4
- Linke -1.1average 4.1
- Grüne +0.9average 14.1
- AfD -0.7average 21.7
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- AfD161
- Grüne115
- SPD108
- CDU/CSU + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD384 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.