Infratest dimap poll of 9 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Dec 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 21.4
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- SPD -0.6average 13.6
- AfD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne154
- AfD94
- SPD87
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.