Infratest dimap poll of 23 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 22 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,043
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,043 people were surveyed from 21 to 22 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.6average 21.4
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- SPD +0.3average 13.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne161
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP54
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.