Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne22.0%-2.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jan 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jan 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
  • AfD +0.7average 13.3
  • SPD +0.5average 13.5
  • Linke +0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -0.3average 22.3
  • FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsGrüne: 147 seatsSPD: 94 seatsAfD: 94 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • Grüne147
  • SPD94
  • AfD94
  • Linke60
  • FDP54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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