Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
11 to 13 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,007
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+2.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.2average 13.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.8average 27.8
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
  • AfD +0.7average 13.3
  • Grüne +0.1average 21.9
  • Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 148 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 94 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne148
  • SPD107
  • AfD94
  • Linke60
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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