Infratest dimap poll of 5 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2020, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.8average 12.8
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne +0.4average 22.6
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD108
- AfD81
- Linke61
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.