Infratest dimap poll of 19 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 18 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,035
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+3.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Mar 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,035 people were surveyed from 17 to 18 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.8average 12.8
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 27.8
- SPD -1.3average 15.3
- Grüne +0.8average 22.2
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne156
- SPD95
- AfD68
- Linke61
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.