Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 Mar 2020 to 1 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+4.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+2.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%-2.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Mar 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2020 to 1 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.2average 31.8
  • Grüne +1.7average 20.3
  • Linke -1.4average 8.4
  • AfD -1.2average 11.2
  • FDP -1.2average 6.2
  • SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsGrüne: 147 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • Grüne147
  • SPD107
  • AfD67
  • Linke47
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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