Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 16 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
14 to 15 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,057
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+4.0
  • Grüne19.0%-3.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Apr 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,057 people were surveyed from 14 to 15 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 3.7 points higher and AfD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.7average 34.3
  • AfD -1.7average 10.7
  • Linke -1.2average 8.2
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • SPD +0.5average 16.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 18.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • Grüne126
  • SPD113
  • AfD60
  • Linke46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP331 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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