Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 May 2020
Respondents
1,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Apr 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.8average 16.2
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 37.9
  • FDP -0.8average 5.8
  • SPD +0.1average 15.9
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 259 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU259
  • Grüne119
  • SPD106
  • AfD60
  • Linke53
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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