Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
12 to 13 May 2020
Respondents
1,074
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,074 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 16.1
  • SPD -0.7average 15.7
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 38.3
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 255 seatsGrüne: 121 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU255
  • Grüne121
  • SPD100
  • AfD67
  • Linke47
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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