Infratest dimap poll of 12 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 11 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,038
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Dec 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 10 to 11 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Dec 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- Grüne -0.3average 21.3
- SPD +0.3average 13.7
- FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne142
- AfD102
- SPD95
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.