Infratest dimap poll of 5 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,507
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Nov 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Nov 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.3
- Grüne +1.6average 21.4
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- SPD -0.9average 13.9
- AfD +0.8average 14.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- Grüne156
- AfD102
- SPD88
- FDP61
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD359 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.