Infratest dimap poll of 14 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 13 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,046
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Nov 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 27.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
- Grüne +0.8average 21.2
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- Grüne150
- SPD103
- AfD96
- Linke62
- FDP48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.