Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 November 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
4 to 6 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,507
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Oct 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 21.6
  • Linke +0.4average 8.6
  • FDP +0.4average 7.6
  • SPD -0.2average 14.2
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 176 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsSPD: 95 seatsAfD: 95 seatsLinke: 61 seatsFDP: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU176
  • Grüne149
  • SPD95
  • AfD95
  • Linke61
  • FDP54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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