Infratest dimap poll of 17 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 16 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,062
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Oct 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,062 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Oct 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.8average 22.8
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- FDP -0.4average 7.4
- SPD ±0average 14.0
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne149
- SPD95
- AfD95
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.