Infratest dimap poll of 10 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 22.6
- SPD -1.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne161
- AfD94
- SPD87
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD368 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.