Infratest dimap poll of 19 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 18 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,067
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,067 people were surveyed from 17 to 18 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Sep 2019, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP +0.9average 7.1
- Grüne +0.6average 22.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne154
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP54
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.