Infratest dimap poll of 5 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,514
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Aug 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,514 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Aug 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- Grüne -0.6average 23.6
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- AfD102
- SPD95
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD380 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.