Infratest dimap poll of 22 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,063
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne25.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Aug 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,063 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Aug 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
- FDP -1.1average 8.1
- Linke -1.0average 8.0
- Grüne +0.8average 24.2
- SPD +0.7average 13.3
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne170
- SPD95
- AfD95
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.