Infratest dimap poll of 1 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 31 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne26.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Jul 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 29 to 31 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Jul 2019, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 24.2
- SPD -1.4average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 27.3
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- Linke -1.0average 8.0
- FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne176
- AfD95
- SPD81
- FDP54
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD352 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.