Infratest dimap poll of 26 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,046
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- Grüne26.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jul 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jul 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 23.9
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
- SPD -0.4average 13.4
- Linke -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne174
- SPD87
- AfD81
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP321 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.