Infratest dimap poll of 4 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jun 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jun 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 26.9
- Grüne +0.9average 25.1
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne176
- CDU/CSU170
- SPD88
- AfD88
- FDP54
- Linke54
- Grüne + CDU/CSU346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP318 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.