Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
24 to 26 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,051
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • Grüne25.0%-1.0
  • SPD13.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jun 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
  • Linke -1.1average 8.1
  • FDP +1.0average 8.0
  • Grüne +0.7average 24.3
  • AfD -0.6average 12.6
  • SPD -0.5average 13.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsGrüne: 171 seatsSPD: 89 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • Grüne171
  • SPD89
  • AfD82
  • FDP62
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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