Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne26.0%+6.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-3.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%-6.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-2.0
  • Others9.0%+4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2019, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.7 points higher and SPD 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.7average 21.3
  • SPD -3.5average 15.5
  • CDU/CSU -3.0average 28.0
  • Linke -1.2average 8.2
  • AfD +0.3average 12.7
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 180 seatsCDU/CSU: 173 seatsAfD: 90 seatsSPD: 83 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 49 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne180
  • CDU/CSU173
  • AfD90
  • SPD83
  • FDP55
  • Linke49
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU353 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD346 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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