Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 to 30 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Apr 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 29 to 30 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Apr 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 18.3
- SPD +1.1average 16.9
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 29.0
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- AfD -0.9average 12.9
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne133
- SPD119
- AfD79
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.