Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 18 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
15 to 16 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,051
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%+1.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Apr 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.9average 18.1
  • FDP -1.1average 9.1
  • SPD -0.7average 16.7
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
  • AfD +0.4average 12.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsGrüne: 139 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 86 seatsFDP: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • Grüne139
  • SPD106
  • AfD86
  • FDP53
  • Linke53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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