Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
1 to 3 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Mar 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Mar 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 18.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 29.8
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
  • AfD -0.6average 12.6
  • SPD +0.5average 16.5
  • FDP -0.3average 9.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 133 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne133
  • SPD113
  • AfD79
  • FDP60
  • Linke53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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