Infratest dimap poll of 22 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,041
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Mar 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,041 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Mar 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 30.5
- SPD +1.4average 16.6
- Grüne +1.1average 17.9
- AfD -1.0average 13.0
- Linke -0.5average 8.5
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD119
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.