Infratest dimap poll of 14 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,508
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Feb 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,508 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 30.7
- Grüne +1.1average 17.9
- SPD +0.6average 16.4
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- AfD -0.3average 13.3
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD113
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.