Infratest dimap poll of 22 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,029
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Feb 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,029 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.5average 16.5
- AfD -1.2average 13.2
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- Grüne +0.1average 17.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD121
- Grüne120
- AfD80
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.