Infratest dimap poll of 14 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jan 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jan 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 30.8
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.7average 18.3
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD113
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.