Infratest dimap poll of 25 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 23 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,051
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jan 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 22 to 23 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jan 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 30.6
- AfD +1.5average 13.5
- Grüne +1.3average 18.7
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD99
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.