Infratest dimap poll of 10 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Dec 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 18.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- AfD -0.4average 14.4
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- Linke -0.3average 9.3
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne131
- SPD99
- AfD92
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.