Infratest dimap poll of 14 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 12 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,048
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Dec 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 28.9
- AfD -1.4average 14.4
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- Grüne +0.9average 19.1
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD86
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.