Infratest dimap poll of 6 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Nov 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 29 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 27.3
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- AfD -0.9average 14.9
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- Grüne -0.3average 20.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne134
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP54
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.