Infratest dimap poll of 29 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 28 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,052
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Nov 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 15.2
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- Grüne +0.9average 20.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
- AfD +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne139
- AfD99
- SPD93
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.