Infratest dimap poll of 15 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%+4.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-3.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.2average 19.8
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- AfD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP -1.1average 9.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne154
- SPD94
- AfD94
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.