Infratest dimap poll of 19 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 17 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Oct 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.3 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 16.7
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 27.2
- SPD -2.2average 16.2
- FDP +2.0average 9.0
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- AfD -0.4average 16.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU168
- Grüne127
- AfD107
- SPD94
- FDP74
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.