Infratest dimap poll of 11 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,508
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%+2.0
- AfD16.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others6.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Sep 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,508 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 16.8
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 27.7
- Grüne +1.5average 15.5
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- AfD -0.5average 16.5
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne114
- AfD107
- SPD101
- FDP67
- Linke67
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.